官方微博 

Home » News » information

China's cotton menace

  Since last October, domestic cotton prices soared since 2003, and historic highs. But over the past three years, as wheat, corn, rice etc crop prices rise, cotton acreage is now, two time step the planting area has reduced 14 million hectares.
Facing the madness of the production, MianJia and shrink to domestic 11773 home textile enterprises, last year the breathtaking "rob cotton war" will again this year.

  MianJia record, store cotton "open put cotton."

  August 10, in cotton, Chinese enterprises to ChuBeiMian management corporation (cotton) began to store market ChuBeiMian countries and quantity for 60 tons.
Bulk materials into the store often play depressing prices, but the price of zhengzhou cotton futures contract but contrarian high. Reporter noticed that the price for this ChuBeiMian auction 000 yuan/ton, but most 18200 clinch a deal price standing in the yuan. Market analysts, MianJia after reservoir behind still strong enough storage, because the market is only 60 tons of a month, to meet the demand of market demand, and strong ability to control the market.
  In the interview, a reporter for incorrectly predicted textile enterprises from this year MianJia movements and regret, facing rising MianJia, only around, even doesn't hesitate to attack by car from xinjiang to cotton. Domestic cotton prices from early 2009 10000 yuan/ton, or to rise gradually began in October last year at the end of last year, has reached 14833 yuan/ton. Until June 30, domestic stock index for cotton 328 level 18309 yuan/ton, than last year the corresponding period rise 42.6 percent from the floor. If compare with last year, up 83.1%. At present, the domestic cotton prices rising trend is still no sign of slowing.
"History records in 2003, MianJia 11,000 yuan/ton from start to 18000 yuan/ton, in fact just touched 18000 yuan/ton began callback. The financial crisis that MianJia fell last year, freezing point about 10,000 yuan/ton, price deserted from the last year, MianJia gradually, after this year to 17000 dollars per ton, within two months after going up again 1000 multivariate, currently has breakthrough highs this year. Can be used to describe the crazy."  

  An industry analysts to MianJia tells a reporter's history.
  Hebei a new production of fabric, said the cotton price has a record XinJiangMian and local cotton to nearly 10 years ago, the high price of cotton is rising. March 3, real estate, every tons of cotton about 16000yuan in June 20, real estate 3 cotton price to $18500. Xinjiang cotton of March 3 000 yuan per ton quotation, current quotation in 19200 yuan per ton.
MianJia rise may not terrible, because the price of cotton yarn enterprise in the cotton enterprise, rising concern is the future will also buy cotton money. Hunan's biggest textile enterprise group Co., LTD DongXin hunan recently cotton inventory some tight. ZongCaiBan group, deputy director LiXiaoJian revealed by the end of July, this group of more than 10,000 tons of inventory cotton, cotton on October this year new listed there before about 7000 tons of cotton procurement gap. "We are supported earnestly, raw materials, face the risk of capital; product, facing the market risk. We have some Suggestions to the relevant departments, enterprises import quotas in xinjiang cotton out" bottleneck ", also hard to ChuJiangMian highway transportation subsidies. LiXiaoJian said.
  Yueyang a textile enterprise manager said, rising to the spot price of cotton enterprise under a lot of pressure. He said many orders is signed in earlier this year, the price of cotton, now, but the current price is still doesn't change, the company suffered a loss.
Fujian jia of textile Co., LTD ChenKun outspoken manager said: "this have cotton supply i  sn't. The enterprise is running of raw materials, the average person not core elite, take money to buy cotton can buy? Now, there is the case."
Global cotton, China supply shortfall

  Global cotton market supply and demand relation tight fundamentals, this is the cornerstone of MianJia rise. The United States department of agriculture says, this year's harvest area around the world will be kept for more than 20 years, and the lowest level since for 15 years, global cotton output growth in demand outpaced the pace of growth.
If Russia &cis state of drought is wheat futures prices fuse, cotton futures prices also cannot leave the world a cotton producers in China and Pakistan's fourth-largest producer of cotton and serious floods, the world's second-largest producer of cotton from India April 19 start implementing the cotton export embargo policy. In some sense, global agricultural market is in "climbing".
  Recent 3 months, south China provinces encountered in 10 years of flooding. According to incomplete statistics, by July 30, China's total destruction 920 million hectares of flooding. A market report, the flood forecasting will cause China cotton output 5% ~ 10%. Analysts have expected in August, new cotton listing of domestic cotton supply 350 tons shortfall will. And the more serious flooding in Pakistan, the affected population up to 16 million people nationwide overnight, 30% of cotton. The 80 years in a flood impact, cotton output this year will decline 30% ~ 40%, estimated output will be less than 10 million (1 packet about 218 kilograms). The direct cause of traditional cotton exporter Pakistan, in 2010 and may even become a net importer of cotton.
  The United States department of agriculture announced on August 12, the report forecasts that China's cotton import 2011 will increase to 1.25 million packets, 14% of Pakistan's imports will also increase in global demand for cotton 53%, will rise to 2.7% annual 2011 12087 million by 2010, but, global inventories fell 4.1 percent cotton, for 4561 million bag, can satisfy the demand for cotton 38%, the lowest level since 1994.
  The United States is the first big cotton exporter (also is the world's third largest producer of cotton), China is the world's leading importer of cotton, is America's first big clients. But according to the U.S. department of agriculture announced on August 12, the material, the China cotton import demand since 1993 has increased 24%.
  American cotton inventory in 2010 year also reached record since 1996 - by 2010 July 31, the planting cycle, the American cotton inventory is only $3.1 million packets.
Demand for the international market, the soaring price of cotton futures laid a foundation. Bloomberg survey of information, the market will continue to rise MianJia international 94.9 percent, achieve the 15 years cents per pound.
   China MianJia high and global cotton market supply and demand relation, the recent floods, domestic continuously in recent years, domestic cotton output at the falling also makes the contradiction between supply and demand of cotton gradually.
The researchers say, 1984, the cotton planting area of 1.2 million acres, once reached over the years, the planting area of cotton reduces to 7500 million acres around now. National bureau of statistics (NBS) 2007 national annual cotton output 7.6 million tons, 2008 to 750 million tons of cotton output, further reduced by 2009 640 tons. From the perspective of cotton acreage, according to the China cotton association, 2007 ~ 2009, the cotton planting area for 8889.15 million mu, 8631.15 million mu, 7425 million acres, cotton acreage in 2009, compared with 2007 reduced 14 million mu. Researchers say, Chinese cotton acreage in 80 million mu is in safety within.
  Relevant statistics show that this year China cotton acreage, generally, henan, shanxi, hebei province, jiangsu, shandong decreased respectively, and 21.98% 7.1% 8.7 percent, 11%, 12.3% in xinjiang, and xinjiang by snow, reduce the amplitude is achieved by 25%.
Henan is one of the major Chinese cotton, cotton planting area most has reached 10 million acres, now only 200-300 million million acres. Shandong dezhou is one of China's four major ChanMian base in 11 XianShiOu 5 counties nationwide cotton production is powerful. Texas cotton planting area before nearly 300 million acres, by 2008 cotton prices high prices, weakness, writes down cotton benefit, the influence of factors such as the planting area in 2009 232 million mu to reduce. And this area of only 200 million mu of cotton, again reducing year-on-year drop to 10 percent, the lowest years.
Farmers have substantial, can let FangQi "food"

  According to the reporter, although 2009 cotton purchase price, high way, and kept the relative decrease cost increase revenue, but this year the ZhongMian enthusiasm is kept.
Dezhou cotton association a personage tells a reporter, since the 2009 cotton purchase prices, and did not reach the expected kept, food and other economic crops, cotton comparative advantage is not outstanding. Grain, grain subsidies have subsidies for agricultural materials, comprehensive subsidies, ZhongMian cotton subsidies, not only ZhongMian subsidies and writes comprehensive subsidies. Grain has no minimum price of cotton. Dezhou rural per capita two acres, nearly 80 per cent of young rural migrant Labour, monthly income 12000 yuan, 2010 and rising wages, general than ZhongMian earn more.
  Also, farmers generally reflected, cotton difficult to please, from April to October, DaCha, fertilization, DaYao not persist, busy also please casual, demanding costly, not worthwhile.
Cotton is benefit for money, diversification of farmers, so as to make the enthusiasm of cotton farmers and low. According to investigation, itd cotton association in 2009 MianJia record in the circumstances, the city of Michael pulling successfully prepare to more than 10%.
Facing the comparative efficiency is not high, cotton cotton farmers will decline in cotton    industry, to where? The expert inside course of study thinks, only raised cotton cultivation of comparative advantage, farmers, can stimulate truly benefit enthusiasm, expand the cotton cotton cotton farmers grow an area.
First, strengthening policy support. Countries should consult grain subsidy way, ZhongMian subsidy policy, while increasing cotton cultivation writes comprehensive subsidies, On the development of professional cooperatives support cotton preferential policies, Every year in the special fund, has been established base, Implementation of the minimum prices for cotton, cotton growers safeguard measures and methods.
Secondly, the government departments concerned shall promptly supply and demand information to provide farmers with cotton planting technology and advanced. Vigorously promote technology, science, cotton pest insect scouting, according to implement zone cooperative government was established, the unity, each time, reduce cost, improve pest worm efficiency. To encourage farmers to plant, correct square sectors-connecting scale expanding guide peasants, promote the cotton industry cotton area of healthy development.
   For textile industry, cotton, cotton textile industry has become a mind-blowing accelerated warmed up the "malaises," in the cotton is high, under the situation of high MianJia era industries should ponder next to the future development of the road.
Although various factors contributed to this year's cotton supply tightens, prices, but the most major or cotton gap bigger. In the short term, this pattern is hard to change. China's textile industrial association, vice President of Chinese textile industry association, xu on many occasions often a bill: our "15", "11th five-year plan" period spinning speed growth in the year around 17%, probably in accordance with the speed increase if continued by 2015, spinning production in China will reach 5500 tons, which means the world to supply China cotton to use, perhaps is not enough. "This is obviously not possible, change the way of" developing urgently set before us.
  China's textile industry association DuYuZhou after that time, become rational consumption crisis, obviously, we will continue to walk the path, but the expansion of scientific development, go to seek ways of industrial upgrading. In fact, the proportion of cotton textile itself from the 20th century has dropped to about 70% of the current 50%, years of growth is mainly rely on chemical fibre and other support. If the crisis before we go way, way after age crisis we must be higher and higher ground, is the upgrade of industry is the way to improve the quality and efficiency, and not scale.
  How to use good cotton this strategic resources, how to get rid of the excessive dependence on cotton? DuYuZhou points, cotton textile industry resource strategy for is extremely important. Fully cotton fiber natural resources advantage of China's textile industry is the task of natural fibers, the proportion of the fiber in will be less and less, but it will be more precious degree high, it will need to high-tech industry by reforming backward process, improve product creativity, creating higher added value.
Xu also repeatedly, should improve the added value of products, fiber tons of support for the development and application of high technology, regenerated celluloee fiber and functional differentiation, fiber, vigorously to adjust the industrial structure, encourage various fibers blended yarn and fabric product development, improve the proportion of cotton fiber, especially to develop industrial textiles
link

  MianJia rise "revenge" cotton --

  Not much attention has been cotton, perhaps because no one will take place at the table, cotton or use it to make cars. As a kind of commodity, the cotton price fluctuation is not very intense, but this one is not expensive commodity can always find it cheaper alternatives. But recently, some clothing retailers threatened to rise, and blamed it on cotton, cotton prices rising costs may soon to 15 years.
  With the wheat and barley, cotton prices don't just because the weather this summer crazy. Indeed, the world's fourth-biggest producer, the second-largest importer of cotton in most parts of the Pakistan had flood disaster. But the United States department of agriculture's data display, in four consecutive years after spending more than output, the cotton price has risen steadily for 18 months. The United States department of agriculture is expected to cotton this year, will be in demand inventory only 40% for 15 years, the lowest level.
  Production problems in the United States, the world's largest exporter of cotton is one of the   biggest producer (China). Although the government provides abundant cotton subsidies, but many American farmers to grow cotton from planting soybeans. The price is a factor: except for the 2008 commodity bubble, short when soaring cotton price over the past 10 years, mostly in the 1980s level fluctuate. Soybean prices have risen by about 50%, and easier to grow.
  However, the American farmers might have on cotton prices in response. The United States department of agriculture says, the planting area increased by 20%. As India and Pakistan limit exports this year, the floods American cotton farmers may fortune. But the global supply of additional menglembu weakened, and recovery of the legality of the dispute about U.S. subsidies are not conclusive. And the people kept (cotton) should seize the opportunity multi-head quickly.


"Chinese textile net source."


Editor: lu be be

time:2010/8/27
count:0