Mr Took the calculator, in the presence of the reporters knock out a series of plane figures, his conclusion is: MianJia such rise continues, business can't really do. "I did 24 years of foreign trade, still have never met the situation." He said.
Mr Is jiangsu skyrun international group wuxi ze China trade company limited, general manager of last year's company exports reached $65m display international financial crisis to enterprise the impact is not big, because from the central to local support measures, such as continuously improve strong export tax rebates, etc. But this year the cotton price, let him so mad of corporations.
"If it is not changed, I dare say, next year after the Spring Festival, a large number of factories will collapse, its consequence than international financial crisis is serious." Mr Said.
Held a few days ago the 108 session of China import and export fair, or Canton fair, Mr Took the foreign brushstroke 422 million pairs of socks orders, but, zhuji city, zhejiang province datang town of eight previous close cooperation socks production factory without willing to do, reason is "cotton morning and evening prices are not the same, done it was losing money, do not do".
According to Chinese cotton association website monitoring data, September 1, China cotton prices 328 index also stay in 18002 yuan/ton, November 8 the index linear surged to 28891 yuan/ton, rises up to 60.49%.
Shanghai pegasus import and export company limited trade jingfan said, this two days has stopped receiving order, because cotton, cotton yarn about doubled the price, and the enterprise clothing export quotation only has risen by 15%, even if the client is not willing to accept any more dearer.
The guangzhou fair, because buyers offer real-time MianJia shall prevail while raw material in textile chain of proportion and larger, raw material price uncertainty, making manufacturers can't pick up long list and large sheet, so with the short list primarily. Shanghai several foreign trade company officials say, from Canton fair back this several days, the company and the client price negotiation become increasingly difficult, press the raw material rises quickly, a pick this single affirmation, so simply stop loss order and see whether the country can let MianJia down.
As one of China's major, zhejiang shaoxing textile market have also been high MianJia severe shock. Because the cotton price rise continuously, make shaoxing bombazine cloth production costs rose by more than 30%. Although production cost rises, but considering actual market demand, but also the wholesale price rise so much, so the profit space smaller and smaller.
Cotton price soaring, also transmission to cotton prices. Zhejiang limited company controller BaiLong knitting hosiery YuJiPing introduced said: "in the first half of the 23,000 yuan/ton pure yarn, 32 clubs to November 8 rise to 45,000 yuan/ton, in the past is unimaginable."
As textile industry raw materials, China cotton spinning and weaving for 95%, printing and dyeing, then processed into clothing and other products, have extensive upstream and downstream industry chains. At present, this price rise of the raw materials are continuously to weaving, dyeing and clothes downstream industry conduction.
Cotton supply gap, enterprises have to further expand imports cotton to "emergency". According to the nanjing customs latest statistics, before October this year in the province imported cotton 7.8 billion, an increase of 2.1 times, import average for 1851 dollars/tonne, rose by 40 percent.
Nanjing university sociology, said dr. Li Ming hype "China needs" is the important means of international hot money from oil, rice to beans, China needs what, its international prices will rise. This time, the wheels to cotton.
China's textile industry association, vice President of xu argue that this year in overseas market soared, stimulates the demand for cotton textile enterprises, meanwhile domestic cotton cultivation but in production of xinjiang cotton sinotrans appeared again difficulties, so he appeared to buy cotton difficult phenomenon.
"Someone USES overheating, monetary policy too loose, speculation and profiteering, price-gouging." Mr Insisted, MianJia soaring behind, someone must be hoarding and hype, foreign all say now MianJia "now" (crazy), beyond acceptable level, if China's MianJia still so high, they will choose can replace Chinese socks base, including Vietnam, Indonesia etc.
In Mr View, it is not depression hit, because production enterprise do are mostly June to August connect of orders, October basic all dare not meet the list next, next year after the Spring Festival, large migrant workers return to cities, it will face the dilemma doing nothing, that is "life and death choice".
MianJia high has caused the Chinese government attaches great importance. The national development and reform commission other seven departments have made it clear that will be investigated and severely demanded MianJia behavior. And cotton futures price from November 10th also continuous drop drives the spot price decline.
Mr Said, hope MianJia fell, but in the country not flimsy supervision gradually returning to reason.
Source "of Chinese textile net"
Editor: lara