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"1025" residents' income targets set annual growth

National "1025" planning has preliminarily determined 1025 ", "the income of urban and rural residents with an average annual growth target of 7%, and economic growth by 7% annual goals.

Previously, the central 1025 "planning in about" advised proposed "efforts to achieve residents' income growth and economic development synchronization" consistent.

However, in a place in certain "1025" planning and development goals and 2011 development goals, economic growth and income of urban and rural residents growth consistent is not much, local determine economic growth target often than the income of urban and rural residents growth target high 1-2 points.

To this, the national development and reform commission ZhangBenBo macroeconomic research researcher said that, if must realize the residents' income growth and economic development synchronously, income growth shall not be lower than the economic growth. However, local for the resident income growth and economic development synchronous may have one's own understanding.

"Can be understood as the rapid economic development, at the same time, the income of urban and rural residents also to achieve rapid growth, namely growth trend is consistent." ZhangBenBo said.

Planning miss changes:

The 11th 5-year-plan has greatly surpassing

To understand that the income of urban and rural residents average annual growth rate of 7% target simply by constant prices (eliminate price rise after) the calculation of, if consider price factor, the actual growth should be higher than 7% to realize "and economic development synchronization".

For urban per capita annual disposable income and rural residents' per capita disposable income, the eleventh five-year plan of the target is average annual growth rate of 5%, respectively in 2010 to 13390 yuanhe 1027-1032 yuan.

In fact, by 2009, China's urban residents' per capita disposable income has reached 17175 yuan, rural residents' per capita disposable income has reached 5153 yuan, deduct price factor, respectively, 9.8 per cent year-on-year growth of 8.5 percent. "11th five-year" plan revenue goals earlier been surpassed.

The Chinese academy of social sciences YuanGang economy researcher neostigmine (blog) said, "11th five-year" reservation of growth is 7.5%, every year the government work report certain economic growth target is also at around 8%, but the actual growth are considerably beyond planning objectives, therefore, "11th five-year plan" period between urban and rural residents income growth exceed 5% of growth planning is not a surprise.

For the next five years, YuanGang Ming says, "in order to transform the development mode of central had no wish to economy done too fast, but local planning are increasing quickly, residents' income and economic growth target will continue to be greatly surpassing. How the index confirmation of practical, it is a problem."

Place their understanding:

"Synchronization", with emphasis on trend consistent

Although the country will "1025" economic growth and income of urban and rural residents with an annual targets are beginning to 7 per cent for, but local "synchronization" understanding not identical.

For example, sichuan province "1025" planning preliminarily determined annual economic growth of 12%, is 2015 town residents' per capita disposable income reached charged 24,600 yuan, and rural per capita net income reached $8,200.

Considering the 2010 sichuan income of urban and rural residents in growth of around 10%, click here to calculate, "1025" period, annual growth of income of urban and rural residents in sichuan province is about 11%.

This means, sichuan province "1025" planning the basic ideas is, the income of urban and rural residents growth than low economic growth by one percentage point.

If specific see 2011 goal, the various provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) economic growth target than income growth target is much more common. More than 10 provinces such as (guangdong push "earnings multiply plan")

Beijing 2011 economic growth target of 8%, higher than income growth target 1 percent. Ningxia, heilongjiang, shanxi etc many provinces determine 2011 economic growth target 12% for urban and rural residents income growth target of 10%.

To this, shaanxi cass economic research institute, says ZhangBaoTong Midwest to speed up the economic development, still can only depend mainly on investment for big economic cake, and based on this, the income of urban and rural residents implement the rapid growth. So, first is must the rapid economic development, just have the residents' income growth. Rely on increasing household income to consumption and boosting economic way, at present in most provinces still doesn't work.

"Most areas of China, especially in the Midwest, currently not rely on consumption to drive the economy. Economic developed countries, economic growth at 5% is overheating, but in China, 5% of the economic growth may even the employment problem cannot be solved." ZhangBaoTong said.

However, in the local economic development and residents' income of goal setting also appears on the special case of shaanxi province determined by 2011, the income of urban and rural residents rate of 14%, higher than economic growth by 12% of goals.

ZhangBaoTong thinks, shaanxi have some central financial transfer payment, can effectively enhance the residents' income, but to achieve 14% of the actual growth difficulty is not small.

"In a fast economic growth, under the situation of resident income to obtain corresponding rapid growth, and this is synchronous to really achieve actual economic growth and income same digital growth, actually is difficult, layout index only reflects a direction." Beijing academy of economy ZhaoHong explained.

Indicate the source "Chinese textile net"

Editor: lara

time:2011/1/2
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