The debt crisis with clouds, the United States and other economies slow growth, that consumer demand is significantly inhibited, extroverted degree higher domestic textile industry inevitably in weak city, from raw materials to end the whole industry chain are under the influence of different level. Also as a weak city, the market more favour brand enterprise, polarization in the industry situation increasingly heavier.
Terminal weak growth remain low upstream
The latest industry association and the customs data shows, the first five months of this year all the textile industry to internal and external demand is not optimistic. From export perspective, 1-5 months, China's textile and apparel exports total 90.642 billion us dollars, up 2.0%. Among them, the textile export 28.072 billion us dollars, up by 1.4%, clothing and accessories export 52.57 billion us dollars, up 2.5%. More than ever before, there's a growth rate dropped. Because the price of individual products with the same period last year has rise up so that part of the varieties of exports dropped. Recently at the 111th Canton fair clinch a deal amount is not optimistic. According to statistics, textile and clothing export total turnover exhibition hall is only 2.29 billion us dollars, up 12.3% lower, order and the second half of last year is still less than six months short of order to give priority to.
According to the foreign trade clothing practitioners introduces, in recent years, with the appreciation of the renminbi, all kinds of operating costs rise, ZhongDiDuan textile product order is south-east Asian countries such as Vietnam the shunt situation more and more serious.
In the last downturn economy situation, domestic demand also not enough "to force". Judging from the domestic market in May, the national limitation above enterprise clothing shoes and hats, needle textile goods retail sales of 72 billion yuan category, year-on-year growth of 19.0%, but the data is April down 0.4%. Another of the all-china commercial information according to data center in May, the national key large retail enterprise 50 home commodity retail sales up 10.3%, a rate of 14.6% in April to drop back.
China's textile industry association spokesman SunHuaiBin recently forecast of the second half of 2012 textile industry situation think, export situation will still more severe, the European Union high unemployment will lead to long-term weak demand growth, the United States, Japan and other major export markets are not sure many factors, the overall economy is difficult to form the powerful pull growth industry. SunHuaiBin also believe that if MianJia continue to exist great difference between both at home and abroad, the domestic textile clothing export situation will be more serious.
As for domestic consumption market, is expected to SunHuaiBin, the clothes goods retail sales can still achieve domestic demand in the name of 15% 20% of the basic growth, but 2012 domestic market growth will be lower than the actual level last year.
In the terminal market demand lack of power at the same time, the raw material prices for natural also "there is so much pain". At present domestic cotton spot price has been 18300 yuan/ton wandering around, the price has less than many production cost of planting. The main substitute each other and cotton man-made fibers is also sales go. This is not high profit margins of textile mill, ltd.established in a better situation than downstream of the textile and clothing production enterprise day more challenging. Senior cotton industry researcher, first textile nets chief editor wang forward when accepting a reporter to interview appear to be pessimistic, he thought that the industry went out of whack need to wait for the improvement of the economic situation. But recently, international cotton contract price rose 20% or so, with the news and China imports more relevant.
The market also have an optimistic viewpoint, huatai securities research report said that from a single month in May of textile and apparel industry data to see, industry demand has been improved in the downstream terminal in stabilising, second quarter will be key in the industry company of the year low. And the countries that raw materials research report gold securities in August this year opportunity to rebound. Last August due to the country to cotton on an unlimited announced temporary collection has led to cotton prices rebound once.
Weak market for the king of the brand
Almost all of the textile clothing industry researchers think, the future of the domestic market in addition to extension expansion outside still mainly, the endogenous growth that is increasingly brand characteristic of the main power to promote the enterprise development.
A textile clothing industry analysts told the reporter, along with the rapidly expand the scale of e-commerce, t-shirts, jeans, originally not high clothing retail price is obvious impact. And men suit and other high-end clothing instead of rapid growth type, the brand enterprise is particularly benefit.
According to related parties, high-grade men's clothing industry this year qiu dong son of the whole situation with &equipment expectations or than expected. Seven of the Wolf is expected to be around 30% increase in order, good news about bird increased by 25%, kanu di about 30% up-40% road, and about a 20% increase in noor al-hussein.
As has been the favourite son industry, brand home textile enterprise &equipment performance is better also. Rich Anna order amount increased by about 30%. Luo lai home textile order amount increased by about 23%-24% year-on-year, although live in weak city, luo lai home textile this year still have large expansion plan.
In addition, it is worth noting, the consumption of the small and medium-sized cities is beginning to show potential. April 2, 3 line city of retail enterprises large retail sales growth were above 16%, and a city is only 8.08%. Obviously, two, three line urban consumption upgrade out of the independent market, which is based on the three, four lines of city fashion leisure brand display, in, saying that it is qiu dong increased 50% above amount &equipment.
Source "the Chinese textile nets"
Edit: lara